Welcome to May ‘25 US eGrocery Sales Trends video, hosted by Mark Fairhurst, Chief Growth Marketing Officer at Mercatus, and David Bishop, Partner at Brick Meets Click.
Big trends
Starting with May’s dramatic 10-point YOY shift in sales share from Pickup to Delivery, David explains why this shift isn’t a blip, but rather a reflection of the continued rise of Delivery for receiving eGrocery orders.
This leads Mark and David to discuss some of the forces reshaping fulfillment preferences, including aggressive promotional activity and the critical role of subscription-based programs.
- David points to Walmart’s dominance in this space, where approximately 90% of their delivery orders are tied to Walmart+, fueling both frequency and retention.
- For regional grocers, the key question is how to compete in a market where low-fee delivery is quickly becoming a baseline consumer expectation.
Membership Plans
Next, David offers a clear roadmap for regional grocers which begins with membership plans. He suggests focusing on building a strong 1P ecosystem to protect customer relationships. He also recommends using Pickup fees as part of a bundled value proposition in subscription programs to help retain core shoppers without competing directly on Walmart’s scale.
Aldi vs. Walmart
Looking at other value formats, Mark and David contrast Walmart’s evolving Delivery service model with Aldi’s no-membership approach, highlighting the strategic decisions that price-focused retailers must now make in response to shifting consumer expectations.
Pickup Innovation
The video wraps up by focusing on the eGrocery Innovation Gap, calling for Pickup enhancements to match Delivery’s momentum. From enhancing deli integrations to rethinking mobile app strategies, there’s a critical need to reinvigorate Pickup and better complement in-store experiences.
00:00 - Introduction
01:25 – Why Walmart Week Changed the Game
02:13 - Delivery as the New Cost/Convenience Leader
03:11 – What Regionals Must Do to Stay Competitive
05:24 – Subscriptions Are the New Loyalty
06:52 – Walmart’s Retention Strategy in Action
08:11 – The Lost Sale Fix: Delivery on Delay
10:51 – Aldi’s Approach: Compete Without Membership?
12:49 – Walled Gardens vs. 3PL Exposure
14:43 – Can Regionals Compete with the 3PL Flywheel?
16:00 – How Delivery Extends Reach Beyond the Store
18:20 – Innovation eGrocery Gap: Pickup Needs a Reboot